IS "THEWEEKLYGLOBALINVESTOR" THE RIGHT "BLOG" FOR YOU?

IS "THEWEEKLYGLOBALINVESTOR" THE RIGHT "BLOG" FOR YOU?
Yes it is! .........if you agree on at least some of the next assertions!

1.-This World Economic Crisis (started in Sep. 2008) is not over yet and this global optimism in shares is just a bear-market's rally!

2.- World Current Account imbalances not only aren't fixed yet, but made worse by recent inept regulatory decisions taken by National & Global authorities.

3.- Japan's yen is awfully over-valued on debt, deflation & growth problems which are in worse shape than those of its developed peers (United States & Germany).

4.- The great disparity of economic advance among the euro-zone members makes it virtually impossible in the short 5-year or medium 15-year-terms not only to reduce currency risk (one of the original motivations to create it) but increases the probability of a major euro-region & world markets disruption (Greece, Ireland, Spain, Portugal, Belgium present sovereign debt problems for example).

5.- The United Kingdom, Denmark & Sweden independent decisions not to join the "euro adventure" were the most sensible path to follow as they now show more flexible resilience in coming out of their respective recessions.They considered when asked that a monetary policy for all wasn't (and still isn't) feasible . "One size fits all"......Absurd!

6.- China does not have (yet) a market economy and worst of all, it lacks a democratic political system, both of which, undoubtedly, make sovereign countries' financial environment safer through their inherent "check & balances" national and international decisions' process.

7.- China (without denying many of its 30-year incontestably social and economic advances) is the biggest asset-bubble of all. This was inflated in the same irrational way the other past bubbles were (commodities, real-estate, etc).

8.- Asia and some Central-Europe and & Latin American countries (Brazil, Argentina, etc) which have relied too much either on exports, foreign direct investment (to & from China), or commodity prices are the ones to suffer most when this giant dragon's bubble deflates.

9.- You reject world financial over-regulation.

And Last But Not Least:

10.- You trust Free Markets (Thus Free Trade) to Get Us out of this mess.

If you agree with most of the above statements (or at least with some of the principal ones) then allow me to be your host from time to time in order to inform you of the last events of this developing international financial drama (take a look 2 or 3 times a week).

Of course daily updates are always available

In case that you want to discuss any part or parts of my expositions or ideology, feel free to contact me directly through my twitter address-account (above), this blog's mechanisms or via my e-mail (below please)!

Finally, don't forget to review my 3-year events archive (fundamental economic analysis), which depicts the whole crisis' follow-up through my careful choice of related stories, backed-up by my almost 30 years of both, empirical and professional assessment of past World Economic Crises.

Wish You a Great 2011!

Juan Carlos Nava

Your Opinion to:
juancarlosnavanava@gmail.com

vendredi 7 août 2009

A WORLD WITHOUT NUCLEAR WEAPONS.....POSSIBLE?

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"Today, the cold war has disappeared but thousands of those weapons have not.
In a strange turn of history, the threat of a global nuclear war has gone down, but the risk of a nuclear attack has gone up.More nations have acquired these weapons. Testing has continued. Black markets trade in nuclear secrets and materials. The technology to build a bomb has spread. Terrorists are determined to buy, build, or steal one....Some argue that the spread of these weapons cannot be checked--that we are destined to live in a world where more nations and more people possess the ultimate tools of destruction. This fatalism is a deadly adversary. Forif we believe that the spread of nuclear weapons is inevitable, then we are admitting to ourselves that the use of nuclear weapons is inevitable...So today, I state clearly and with conviction America's commitment to seek the peace and security of a world without nuclear weapons. I'm not naive. This goal may not be reached quickly--perhaps not in my lifetime. It will take patience and persistence. But now we, too, must ignore the voices who tell us that the world cannot change." BARACK OBAMA, PRAGUE, 2009. (Taken From "The Economist" Cover Week of April 11th--17th, 2009.

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.... THE NEW BAD KIDS ON THE BLOCK?--

------Russia, North Korea, Ecuador, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Zimbabwe, Venezuela, Iran and Bolivia governments (I admire and respect their respective cultures though, especially that of Russia but I want from their governments more democracy, open markets and a globally "constructive" political cooperation):Follow day by day all the updated stories and perspectives (Financial, Economic, Philosophical) shaping my forecasts of this thrilling world drama as it unfolds while you take your own timely and savvy investment decisions! If you have any doubts concerning my stance about the diverse matters expressed throughout this "blog", please let me know them to publicly enrich the debate!

TERRORISM:...Are We All At War?

Are The World Financial Markets At Risk?..Our Own Investments?..Our Lives?..Should We Neglect The Facts?..Please Check Carefully The Following Information!

Aperçu


"The World will be better off the next decades and centuries. Crises are only a tough and strange way "Reality" has to make us morally wiser and economically more efficient whenever we prove ourselves slow at positive change" ~--jcnn--~

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WHAT I EXPECT IN 2009! (Too Optimistic Perhaps?):

A Successful Doha Agreement For The World Trade Organization !----- World Recession to be contained!----Cuba To Open Up To The World! ----China To Advance On Human Rights Issues!-----Iran To Stop Playing With Nuclear Weapons!---México To Become More Competitive!-----A More Democratic International Financial System!----Zimbabwe's Mugabe To Quit!----Venezuela's Chávez To Quit!---Less Poverty And More Health & Education Achieved Through A Faster Global Dissemination of Technology & Applied Market Instruments!-----North Korea To Stop Playing With Nuclear Weapons!
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TV AND RADIO COMMENTATOR ON INTERNATIONAL ECONOMY & FINANCIAL MARKETS! COLLABORATIONS WITH CNN, TELEVISA ("ECO" INTERNATIONAL TV NETWORK), TELEFORMULA, RADIO 13, GRUPO ACIR, AND SEVERAL MEXICAN MAGAZINES. CONFERENCES ON WORLD ECONOMIC TRENDS AT ITAM, ANAHUAC, UDLA (CAMPUS MEXICO CITY). WORLD WEB CONFERENCES ON TERRA, INFOCEL. SEVERAL WRITTEN ARTICLES AND NEWSPAPERS INTERVIEWS! ******************PAST CRISES FORECASTS*******************: 1994 MEXICAN DEVALUATION; 1997 ASIAN CURRENCIES CRISIS; 1998 RUSSIAN DEFAULT; THE 1999 BRAZILIAN DEVALUATION; THE 2001 ARGENTINIAN DEVALUATION; THE DOT.COM STOCKS CRASH, TURKEY DEVALUATION. ALL DULY AND TIMELY FORMALLY DOCUMENTED THROUGH TV, NEWSPAPERS INTERVIEWS, ARTICLES. (ALL THIS DOCUMENTS CAN BE PROVIDED UPON REQUEST) ****************PRESENT FORECAST*****************: A BIG CHINA'S YUAN CRISIS, AFFECTING THE EURO AND THE YEN. LEAST RISKY OF ALL, THE DOLLAR (NOTWITHSTANDING THE CREDIT CRISIS), MEXICAN PESO AND THE CANADIAN DOLLAR. INCREDIBLE? CONTINUE READING THIS BLOG!

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