IS "THEWEEKLYGLOBALINVESTOR" THE RIGHT "BLOG" FOR YOU?

IS "THEWEEKLYGLOBALINVESTOR" THE RIGHT "BLOG" FOR YOU?
Yes it is! .........if you agree on at least some of the next assertions!

1.-This World Economic Crisis (started in Sep. 2008) is not over yet and this global optimism in shares is just a bear-market's rally!

2.- World Current Account imbalances not only aren't fixed yet, but made worse by recent inept regulatory decisions taken by National & Global authorities.

3.- Japan's yen is awfully over-valued on debt, deflation & growth problems which are in worse shape than those of its developed peers (United States & Germany).

4.- The great disparity of economic advance among the euro-zone members makes it virtually impossible in the short 5-year or medium 15-year-terms not only to reduce currency risk (one of the original motivations to create it) but increases the probability of a major euro-region & world markets disruption (Greece, Ireland, Spain, Portugal, Belgium present sovereign debt problems for example).

5.- The United Kingdom, Denmark & Sweden independent decisions not to join the "euro adventure" were the most sensible path to follow as they now show more flexible resilience in coming out of their respective recessions.They considered when asked that a monetary policy for all wasn't (and still isn't) feasible . "One size fits all"......Absurd!

6.- China does not have (yet) a market economy and worst of all, it lacks a democratic political system, both of which, undoubtedly, make sovereign countries' financial environment safer through their inherent "check & balances" national and international decisions' process.

7.- China (without denying many of its 30-year incontestably social and economic advances) is the biggest asset-bubble of all. This was inflated in the same irrational way the other past bubbles were (commodities, real-estate, etc).

8.- Asia and some Central-Europe and & Latin American countries (Brazil, Argentina, etc) which have relied too much either on exports, foreign direct investment (to & from China), or commodity prices are the ones to suffer most when this giant dragon's bubble deflates.

9.- You reject world financial over-regulation.

And Last But Not Least:

10.- You trust Free Markets (Thus Free Trade) to Get Us out of this mess.

If you agree with most of the above statements (or at least with some of the principal ones) then allow me to be your host from time to time in order to inform you of the last events of this developing international financial drama (take a look 2 or 3 times a week).

Of course daily updates are always available

In case that you want to discuss any part or parts of my expositions or ideology, feel free to contact me directly through my twitter address-account (above), this blog's mechanisms or via my e-mail (below please)!

Finally, don't forget to review my 3-year events archive (fundamental economic analysis), which depicts the whole crisis' follow-up through my careful choice of related stories, backed-up by my almost 30 years of both, empirical and professional assessment of past World Economic Crises.

Wish You a Great 2011!

Juan Carlos Nava

Your Opinion to:
juancarlosnavanava@gmail.com

vendredi 20 août 2010

WORLD (WEEKLY AGENDA)

(Aug. 16 -- 20, 2010)

AHEAD OF THE CURVE!

################Gras####################


(Aug. 16 -- 20, 2010)


WORLD: ; NORTH AMÉRICA: ***United States: Empire Manufacturing (16); Net TIC Flows (16); NAHB Housing Market Index (16); Building Permits (17);

Housing Starts (17);

MBA Mortgage Applications (18); DOE Oil Inventories (18); FED's Bullard Speaks (¿¿Jun 14??) (19);

Producer Prices (17); Capacity Utilization (17); Industrial Production (17); FED's Kocherlakota Speaks (¿¿23??) (17); ABC Consumer Confidence (¿¿15??) (17);Weekly Jobless(19); Leading Indicators (19); Philadelphia FED (19);FED's Evans Speaks (¿¿Aug. 23??)(19);

; México; Manufacturing IMMEX (16); GDP Qly. Constant Prices (20); Economic Activity Global Indicator (20); BANXICO Rate Decision (20); ;Canada; Manufacturing Shipments (17); Leading Indicators (19); Wholesale Sales (19); BoC Consumer Price Index (20); ;EUROPE;;Britain:Consumer Prices (17); BoE Minutes (18); M4 (19); Major Banks Mortgage Approvals (19); Public Finances (19); Retail Sales (19); CBI Trends Total Orders (19);;Switzerland; Trade Balance (19);ZEW Expectations (19; ; Euro-Zone: Consumer Price Index (16); Current Account (17); Zew Economic Sentiment (17); Construction Output (18);;Germany: ZEW Current Situation (17); ZEW Economic Sentiment (17);Producer Prices (19); ;France: ;Italy: ; ---ASIA, PACIFIC:---Japan:GDP (Sunday 15); Services (Sunday 15); Leading & Coincident Index (18);All Industry Activity Index (19); Machine Tool Orders (19); Convenience Store Sales (20);:Australia;RBA RateDecision Minutes (17); Westpac Leading Index (18); ;-- New Zealand: Services (Sunday 15); Producer Prices (18); Consumer Confidence (19); Credit Card Spending (19); ;

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TV AND RADIO COMMENTATOR ON INTERNATIONAL ECONOMY & FINANCIAL MARKETS! COLLABORATIONS WITH CNN, TELEVISA ("ECO" INTERNATIONAL TV NETWORK), TELEFORMULA, RADIO 13, GRUPO ACIR, AND SEVERAL MEXICAN MAGAZINES. CONFERENCES ON WORLD ECONOMIC TRENDS AT ITAM, ANAHUAC, UDLA (CAMPUS MEXICO CITY). WORLD WEB CONFERENCES ON TERRA, INFOCEL. SEVERAL WRITTEN ARTICLES AND NEWSPAPERS INTERVIEWS! ******************PAST CRISES FORECASTS*******************: 1994 MEXICAN DEVALUATION; 1997 ASIAN CURRENCIES CRISIS; 1998 RUSSIAN DEFAULT; THE 1999 BRAZILIAN DEVALUATION; THE 2001 ARGENTINIAN DEVALUATION; THE DOT.COM STOCKS CRASH, TURKEY DEVALUATION. ALL DULY AND TIMELY FORMALLY DOCUMENTED THROUGH TV, NEWSPAPERS INTERVIEWS, ARTICLES. (ALL THIS DOCUMENTS CAN BE PROVIDED UPON REQUEST) ****************PRESENT FORECAST*****************: A BIG CHINA'S YUAN CRISIS, AFFECTING THE EURO AND THE YEN. LEAST RISKY OF ALL, THE DOLLAR (NOTWITHSTANDING THE CREDIT CRISIS), MEXICAN PESO AND THE CANADIAN DOLLAR. INCREDIBLE? CONTINUE READING THIS BLOG!

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