IS "THEWEEKLYGLOBALINVESTOR" THE RIGHT "BLOG" FOR YOU?

IS "THEWEEKLYGLOBALINVESTOR" THE RIGHT "BLOG" FOR YOU?
Yes it is! .........if you agree on at least some of the next assertions!

1.-This World Economic Crisis (started in Sep. 2008) is not over yet and this global optimism in shares is just a bear-market's rally!

2.- World Current Account imbalances not only aren't fixed yet, but made worse by recent inept regulatory decisions taken by National & Global authorities.

3.- Japan's yen is awfully over-valued on debt, deflation & growth problems which are in worse shape than those of its developed peers (United States & Germany).

4.- The great disparity of economic advance among the euro-zone members makes it virtually impossible in the short 5-year or medium 15-year-terms not only to reduce currency risk (one of the original motivations to create it) but increases the probability of a major euro-region & world markets disruption (Greece, Ireland, Spain, Portugal, Belgium present sovereign debt problems for example).

5.- The United Kingdom, Denmark & Sweden independent decisions not to join the "euro adventure" were the most sensible path to follow as they now show more flexible resilience in coming out of their respective recessions.They considered when asked that a monetary policy for all wasn't (and still isn't) feasible . "One size fits all"......Absurd!

6.- China does not have (yet) a market economy and worst of all, it lacks a democratic political system, both of which, undoubtedly, make sovereign countries' financial environment safer through their inherent "check & balances" national and international decisions' process.

7.- China (without denying many of its 30-year incontestably social and economic advances) is the biggest asset-bubble of all. This was inflated in the same irrational way the other past bubbles were (commodities, real-estate, etc).

8.- Asia and some Central-Europe and & Latin American countries (Brazil, Argentina, etc) which have relied too much either on exports, foreign direct investment (to & from China), or commodity prices are the ones to suffer most when this giant dragon's bubble deflates.

9.- You reject world financial over-regulation.

And Last But Not Least:

10.- You trust Free Markets (Thus Free Trade) to Get Us out of this mess.

If you agree with most of the above statements (or at least with some of the principal ones) then allow me to be your host from time to time in order to inform you of the last events of this developing international financial drama (take a look 2 or 3 times a week).

Of course daily updates are always available

In case that you want to discuss any part or parts of my expositions or ideology, feel free to contact me directly through my twitter address-account (above), this blog's mechanisms or via my e-mail (below please)!

Finally, don't forget to review my 3-year events archive (fundamental economic analysis), which depicts the whole crisis' follow-up through my careful choice of related stories, backed-up by my almost 30 years of both, empirical and professional assessment of past World Economic Crises.

Wish You a Great 2011!

Juan Carlos Nava

Your Opinion to:
juancarlosnavanava@gmail.com

vendredi 7 août 2009

DISPOSABLE DATA?

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F E A T U R I N G THIS YEAR!
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BANKS' BAD LOANS ARE "NEXT WAVE" OF GLOBAL CRISIS
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*****CURRENCY-TRADING REVIVAL MAY TAKE SEVERAL YEARS AS GLOBAL VOLUMES SLIDE ********** LIBOR FELL BELOW 0.50% THIS WEEK FOR 1st TIME ON CREDIT THAW ********** BERNANKE SAYS FED SOUGHT TO AVERT A "2nd GREAT DEPRESSION" ********** SPAIN'S UNEMPLOYMENT RATE RISES TO DECADE-HIGH 17.9%, MAY REACH 22% IN 2010 ********** US STOCKS OPTIMISTIC: DOW TOUCHED THE 9,000 LEVEL THIS WEEK FOR 1st TIME SINCE JANUARY! ********** CIT EXPECTS LOSS OF $1.5 BILLION, MAY SEEK BANKRUPTCY********** US RECESSION MAY HAVE ENDED, LEADING INDICATORS SHOW! ********** BERNANKE MAY HOLD RATES DOWN BY SHOWING HE CAN REVERSE COURSE! ********** GERMAN PRODUCER PRICES PLUNGE MOST IN 40 YEARS! ****** * * * * * OIL TO COLLAPSE TO $20 THIS YEAR ON "DEVASTATING" GLUT * * * * *
* * * * * OIL TO COLLAPSE TO $20 THIS YEAR ON "DEVASTATING" GLUT * * * * *
*****GLOBAL CONFIDENCE DROPS AS UNEMPLOYMENT SURGE COUNTERS STIMULUS!******CALIFORNIA CREDIT RATINGS CUT AMID BUDGET IMPASSE!****JAPAN NEEDS TO CONSIDER DIVERSIFYING RESERVES, OPPOSITION SAYS!.....WHAT? ***
*** DOLLAR WILL REMAIN WORLD'S MAIN RESERVE CURRENCY!...NO SERIOUS ALTERNATIVE AVAILABLE!...YES! ****** G-8, G-5 DODGE DOLLAR SPAT, VOW TO AVOID DEVALUATIONS! ***G-8 SAYS GLOBAL RECOVERY IS STILL TOO WEAK!****EUROPECONTRACTS MOST ON RECORD ON EXPORTS, INVESTMENT!****** LA FRANCE TRAVERSE SA PIRE RÉCESSION DE L'APRÈS-GUERRE! ***A 2nd US STIMULUS PACKAGE NEEDED?-------------US SERVICES CONTRACT AT SLOWEST PACE IN 9 MONTHS!-----------EARNINGS DROP WORLDWIDE AS JOB LOSSES HURT CONSUMERS* ******FINANCIAL SYSTEM VULNERABLE TO MORE SHOCKS, BANK OF ENGLAND SAYS!-----JAPAN SUCCUMBS TO DEFLATION!*****MÉXICO'S SHARES UPGRADED, S.KOREA'S, TURKEY'S DOWNGRADED AT MORGAN STANLEY!-------OECD RAISES WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK FOR 1st TIME IN 2 YEARS!...BRAVO?------WORLD HAS NO "CREDIBLE ALTERNATIVE" TO US DOLLAR: MOODY'S SAYS!-------US CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICERS REMAIN PESSIMISTIC ABOUT THE ECONOMY; SURVEY SAYS!------US FED'S BERNANKE SET TO DEFEND HIS REAPPOINTMENT!------MÉXICO: ¿PRÓSPERO 2010?...YES!--------VOLATILITY INDEX SURGE AS WORLD BANK REPORT SENDS EQUITIES TUMBLING!------WORLD BANK CUTS FORECAST FOR GLOBAL ECONOMY, DEVELOPING NATIONS...GULP!-------IRAN PARLIAMENT SPEAKER QUESTIONS VOTE RESULTS; TEN KILLED AND MORE THAN 100 HUNDRED INJURED (ON TOP OF LAST WEEK'S)-------MORAL HAZARD FOR BANKS THREATENS NEXT CYCLE!.....WHAT?-----L'EUROPE: PAS BESOIN D'UN AUTRE PLAN DE RELANCE, SELON JEAN-CLAUDE TRICHET!*****MORAL HAZARD FOR BANKS THREATENS NEXT CYCLE.....GULP!------HAWAII TO GET MISSILE INTERCEPTORS VS NORTH KOREA POSSIBLE ATTACK!-----LES EUROPÉENS TROUVENT AUSSI UN ACCORD POUR AMÉLIORER LA SUPERVISION FINANCIÈRE!***** "BUBBLE OF BELIEF" IN CHINA ECONOMY SEEN BURSTING! *****EN IRAN, "LE SOMMET DE L'ETAT EST COUPÉ EN DEUX"***** USANNUALINFLATIONFALLS MOST IN 60 YEARS! ********** FINANCE:OBAMA ANNONCE LA PLUS GRANDE RÉFORME DEPUIS LES ANNÉES 1930!*****

***** BRICs CALL FOR "GREATER VOICE"IN GLOBAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AT 1st (HISTORIC)SUMMIT!*****JAPAN'S RECOVERY MAY NOT BE SUSTAINED!------EURO-AREAINFLATIONFALLS TO ZERO!

***** THE DOLLAR HAS NO RIVAL AS WORLD RESERVE CURRENCY*********GERMANY'S STEINBRUECK SIGNALS CONCERN ON EUROPEAN CREDIT RATINGS!*****FMI: LE PIRE DE LA CRISE PEUT-ÊTRE ENCORE À VENIR, SELON STRAUSS-KAHN!*****BANK RESCUE COSTS EUROPEAN UNION STATES $5.3 TRILLION, MORE THAN GERMANY GDP!....WOW!-----MÉXICO: ¡SU ECONOMÍA YA PASÓ LO PEOR!....¿REALMENTE?-----GLOBAL CONFIDENCE CLIMBS FOR THIRD MONTH ON SIGNS WORST IS OVER!-----THE BEIGE BOOK: US RECESSION MAY BE MODERATING!-----US RECESSION ENDING BY SEPTEMBER: NOBEL WINNER KRUGMAN SAYS!---GLOBAL SLUMP MAY BE EASING, BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS SAYS!------L'HÉGÉMONIE DU DOLLAR EST ATTAQUÉE DE TOUTES PARTS!*****US JOBLESS UP TO 9.4%, HIGHEST SINCE 1983!-----JAPAN'S BUSINESSMEN BRING "BENTO" FOR LUNCH AS POCKET MONEY DWINDLES!-----UK BROWN'S FUTURE IN DOUBT AS ANOTHER MINISTER QUITS...POUND FALLS!------BANK OF ENGLAND, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK LEFT RATES UNCHANGED!------US DOLLAR TO REBOUND; INFLATION OVERDONE!------EURO'S RALLY MAY BE IN "LAST STAGE"...UBS SAYS !------GOLD: 1st MONTHLY GAIN IN 3?...$1,000 SOON?-------DOLLAR POSTS BIGGEST MONTHLY DROP THIS YEAR!--------L'EUROPE: 0% D'INFLATION!...

S'INQUIÈTE DES RISQUES D'UNE DÉFLATION PROLONGÉE!------MÉXICO TO SHRINK MOST SINCE 1932!...WHAT?------

AU JAPON... LES SUICIDES SE MULTIPLIENT À CAUSE DE LA CRISE ÉCONOMIQUE!-----US DOLLAR WILL HOLD UP EVEN AFTER A DOWNGRADE!-----US NEWNORMAL: 2% GDP GROWTH, 8% UNEMPLOYMENT RATE! -----

GERMAN EXPORTS PLUNGED IN 1st QUARTER; RECORD SLUMP!-------

LE PIB ALLEMAND S'EST CONTRACTÉ DE 3.8% AU 1er TRIMESTRE; A DIMINUÉ 6.7% SUR UN AN!------

***** UK BROWN GOES FULL CIRCLE AS DEBT RAISES RATING DOUBT--

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ETATS-UNIS: LA SORTIE DE CRISE SERA PLUS LENTE QUE NE LE PRÉVOYAIT L'ADMINISTRATION OBAMA!----Tomorrow:-----WORLD CRISIS WEEKLY WRAP-UP ...(March 09 -- March 13, 2009)-----Today:-----G-20: BATTLING FOR LIFE!...SURVIVAL FIRST!...GULP!-----LE DOLLAR RESTE MALGRÉ TOUT LA MONNAIE DE RÉFÉRENCE MONDIALE!-----CHINA'S YUAN: HOT MONEY RUNNING AWAY!...WHAT?***** THE WORLD ECONOMY TO CONTRACT 1st TIME SINCE WWII: WORLD BANK! ******THEUS ECONOMY WORSENED IN THE LAST 2 MONTHS: "THE BEIGE BOOK" ******MÉXICO 2009: PRONÓSTICO ECONÓMICO---THE DOLLAR "SAFE HAVEN" ARTICLE--LA DETTE FRANÇAISE S'APPROCHERAIT DE 80% DU PIB!--MÉXICO: ¿CÓMO VA HOY?--ALSO THE MEXICAN PESO REBOUND STORY.

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TV AND RADIO COMMENTATOR ON INTERNATIONAL ECONOMY & FINANCIAL MARKETS! COLLABORATIONS WITH CNN, TELEVISA ("ECO" INTERNATIONAL TV NETWORK), TELEFORMULA, RADIO 13, GRUPO ACIR, AND SEVERAL MEXICAN MAGAZINES. CONFERENCES ON WORLD ECONOMIC TRENDS AT ITAM, ANAHUAC, UDLA (CAMPUS MEXICO CITY). WORLD WEB CONFERENCES ON TERRA, INFOCEL. SEVERAL WRITTEN ARTICLES AND NEWSPAPERS INTERVIEWS! ******************PAST CRISES FORECASTS*******************: 1994 MEXICAN DEVALUATION; 1997 ASIAN CURRENCIES CRISIS; 1998 RUSSIAN DEFAULT; THE 1999 BRAZILIAN DEVALUATION; THE 2001 ARGENTINIAN DEVALUATION; THE DOT.COM STOCKS CRASH, TURKEY DEVALUATION. ALL DULY AND TIMELY FORMALLY DOCUMENTED THROUGH TV, NEWSPAPERS INTERVIEWS, ARTICLES. (ALL THIS DOCUMENTS CAN BE PROVIDED UPON REQUEST) ****************PRESENT FORECAST*****************: A BIG CHINA'S YUAN CRISIS, AFFECTING THE EURO AND THE YEN. LEAST RISKY OF ALL, THE DOLLAR (NOTWITHSTANDING THE CREDIT CRISIS), MEXICAN PESO AND THE CANADIAN DOLLAR. INCREDIBLE? CONTINUE READING THIS BLOG!

PESO MEXICANO: ¿EN PELIGRO?

EURO AT RISK?