IS "THEWEEKLYGLOBALINVESTOR" THE RIGHT "BLOG" FOR YOU?

IS "THEWEEKLYGLOBALINVESTOR" THE RIGHT "BLOG" FOR YOU?
Yes it is! .........if you agree on at least some of the next assertions!

1.-This World Economic Crisis (started in Sep. 2008) is not over yet and this global optimism in shares is just a bear-market's rally!

2.- World Current Account imbalances not only aren't fixed yet, but made worse by recent inept regulatory decisions taken by National & Global authorities.

3.- Japan's yen is awfully over-valued on debt, deflation & growth problems which are in worse shape than those of its developed peers (United States & Germany).

4.- The great disparity of economic advance among the euro-zone members makes it virtually impossible in the short 5-year or medium 15-year-terms not only to reduce currency risk (one of the original motivations to create it) but increases the probability of a major euro-region & world markets disruption (Greece, Ireland, Spain, Portugal, Belgium present sovereign debt problems for example).

5.- The United Kingdom, Denmark & Sweden independent decisions not to join the "euro adventure" were the most sensible path to follow as they now show more flexible resilience in coming out of their respective recessions.They considered when asked that a monetary policy for all wasn't (and still isn't) feasible . "One size fits all"......Absurd!

6.- China does not have (yet) a market economy and worst of all, it lacks a democratic political system, both of which, undoubtedly, make sovereign countries' financial environment safer through their inherent "check & balances" national and international decisions' process.

7.- China (without denying many of its 30-year incontestably social and economic advances) is the biggest asset-bubble of all. This was inflated in the same irrational way the other past bubbles were (commodities, real-estate, etc).

8.- Asia and some Central-Europe and & Latin American countries (Brazil, Argentina, etc) which have relied too much either on exports, foreign direct investment (to & from China), or commodity prices are the ones to suffer most when this giant dragon's bubble deflates.

9.- You reject world financial over-regulation.

And Last But Not Least:

10.- You trust Free Markets (Thus Free Trade) to Get Us out of this mess.

If you agree with most of the above statements (or at least with some of the principal ones) then allow me to be your host from time to time in order to inform you of the last events of this developing international financial drama (take a look 2 or 3 times a week).

Of course daily updates are always available

In case that you want to discuss any part or parts of my expositions or ideology, feel free to contact me directly through my twitter address-account (above), this blog's mechanisms or via my e-mail (below please)!

Finally, don't forget to review my 3-year events archive (fundamental economic analysis), which depicts the whole crisis' follow-up through my careful choice of related stories, backed-up by my almost 30 years of both, empirical and professional assessment of past World Economic Crises.

Wish You a Great 2011!

Juan Carlos Nava

Your Opinion to:
juancarlosnavanava@gmail.com

mardi 4 août 2009

WORLD ECONOMIC POLICY: MY ADVICE!

DEAR READERS: I'M SENSING A LOT OF CONFUSION AND SEEING MANY DESPERATE AND PANICKY ACTIONS AMONG THE WORLD'S MOST PROMINENT ECONOMIC POLICY MAKERS. I TELL THEM THIS: STICK AND TRUST TO WHAT YOU HAVE LEARNT IN COLLEGE: RESPECT THE MARKETS WHILE YOU TRY TO SOFTEN THIS CRISIS' EFFECTS ON PEOPLE (DEFEND YOUR CONVICTIONS VS YOUR BOSSES, THESE BEING MINISTERS, PRESIDENTS OR PMs., CONGRESS OR PARLIAMENT, MEDIA, ETC. OTHERWISE RESIGN) RECOGNIZING THAT THESE ARE TESTING TIMES, THE COUNTRIES THAT ARE GOING TO END UP BETTER POSITIONED FROM IT ARE THE ONES THAT REJECTED THE SEEMINGLY EASIER BUT ABSURDLY COSTLIER SHORT-TERM POPULIST SOLUTIONS AND EMBRACED STOICALLY THE MOST SENSIBLE ONES. THUS, IF YOU ARE SINCERELY COMMITTED TO SEE THE WORLD OUT OF THIS TROUBLE BUT DOUBTFUL THAT SOME PAINFUL THOUGH RATIONAL COURSE OF ACTION IS THE BEST DECISION TO MAKE, THEN TRUST YOUR INSTINCTS (INTELLECTUAL INTUITION) FOUNDED ON THE ADVANCEMENT OF HUMAN KNOWLEDGE WHICH HAS BEEN THOROUGHLY EMBEDDED EVEN IN YOUR HUMBLEST AND MOST BASIC MODERN ECONOMICS TEXT BOOKS DURING THE PAST DECADES AND..... MAKE THAT DECISION. YOU ARE RIGHT NOW RESPONSIBLE FOR THE WELL-BEING OF SO MANY HUMAN LIVES. PLAY IT SMART! MARX, KEYNES ARE DEAD AND A WHOLE NEW AND BETTER WORLD IS WAITING FOR US!---- DON'T MESS WITH THE MARKETS!.... J. CNN

Aperçu


WHAT GOVERNMENTS SHOULD DO!

COMMENTARY ON THE PRESENT WORLD
FINANCIAL CRISIS:

Financial Markets can and should regulate themselves. We, world citizens, have to learn to respect that. Sometimes they are harsh on us because we act irresponsibly but then we must humbly accept punishment for that behavior. The international financial system's shaping forces are in some instances beyond our understanding. That's nature at its best. It's simply not right to defend its freedom whenever things are going smoothly and attack or reject it when they turn sour.

Regulators think they know better! They don't!
Regulators think they can control them (markets)!They can't!

Certainly there are always a few things that can be done by governments to alleviate the human suffering "creative destruction" caused by their (markets) reactions.

The statesman-like wisdom lies in choosing a course of action that doesn't mess with the profound changes they bring. Not doing so will only carry later on a bigger damage to our welfare. Better pay it lightly now.

The world economy requires to clean itself from inefficient matter from time to time, that is what "Economic Recessions" are for. "Economic Depressions" on the other hand come when several recessions which should have taken place were avoided.

"Government Central planning cause depressions"
"Markets' Adjustments Only Cause Recessions"

Please Mr Bernanke, Mr Paulson, leave the markets alone. The financial dictatorial powers you are asking for from the US Congress will only slow down human progress and in the middle and longer term will only make this systemic risk worse. I know power bestowed by people is hard to relinquish and I know you both have the best honorable intentions. In these testing times do trust your academic and vanguardist knowledge, hold yourselves.

Less governmental interference and more customer sovereignty in products and services (investments).

Be humble enough and relinquish that power.

Your only accepted task in the regulations' planet must always be to try to make free and fair competition a more ubiquitous reality all over the world.

Please comment on this:

juancarlosnavanava@yahho.fr

---º---


Aucun commentaire:

Enregistrer un commentaire

Qui êtes-vous ?

Ma photo
TV AND RADIO COMMENTATOR ON INTERNATIONAL ECONOMY & FINANCIAL MARKETS! COLLABORATIONS WITH CNN, TELEVISA ("ECO" INTERNATIONAL TV NETWORK), TELEFORMULA, RADIO 13, GRUPO ACIR, AND SEVERAL MEXICAN MAGAZINES. CONFERENCES ON WORLD ECONOMIC TRENDS AT ITAM, ANAHUAC, UDLA (CAMPUS MEXICO CITY). WORLD WEB CONFERENCES ON TERRA, INFOCEL. SEVERAL WRITTEN ARTICLES AND NEWSPAPERS INTERVIEWS! ******************PAST CRISES FORECASTS*******************: 1994 MEXICAN DEVALUATION; 1997 ASIAN CURRENCIES CRISIS; 1998 RUSSIAN DEFAULT; THE 1999 BRAZILIAN DEVALUATION; THE 2001 ARGENTINIAN DEVALUATION; THE DOT.COM STOCKS CRASH, TURKEY DEVALUATION. ALL DULY AND TIMELY FORMALLY DOCUMENTED THROUGH TV, NEWSPAPERS INTERVIEWS, ARTICLES. (ALL THIS DOCUMENTS CAN BE PROVIDED UPON REQUEST) ****************PRESENT FORECAST*****************: A BIG CHINA'S YUAN CRISIS, AFFECTING THE EURO AND THE YEN. LEAST RISKY OF ALL, THE DOLLAR (NOTWITHSTANDING THE CREDIT CRISIS), MEXICAN PESO AND THE CANADIAN DOLLAR. INCREDIBLE? CONTINUE READING THIS BLOG!

PESO MEXICANO: ¿EN PELIGRO?

EURO AT RISK?